Wednesday, 24 April 2013

Result Review 4QFY2013


HDFC Bank 
HDFC Bank delivered yet another quarter of consistent performance on the bottom line front, with a growth of 30.1% yoy. On the operating front, while the growth in NII came in relatively lower at 20.6% (similar to last quarter), non-interest income grew only by moderate 10.7%, leading to growth of around 17% yoy in both operating income and pre-provisioning profits. On the asset quality front, the bank reported stability, as its Gross and Net NPA levels, on an absolute basis, came down sequentially by around 4% each, which aided it to report 27% yoy lower provisioning expenses and clock earnings growth of 30% yoy. The bank registered a robust growth in its balance sheet, with net advances and deposits growing at 22.7% and 20.1% yoy. On the deposits front, the current and saving deposits accretion was healthy, growing at 15.2% and 19.2% yoy, respectively. CASA ratio declined by around 100bp on a yoy basis to 47.4%. Within loan book, the bank manage to grow its retail loan book by 27.3% yoy and hence, share of retail advances to overall loan book increased by around 200bp yoy and 300bp qoq to 56.9%. NIMs for the bank came in at 4.5%, higher by 20bp qoq and 10bp yoy, primarily on higher retail lending. Non-interest income (excluding treasury) grew at subdued pace of 2.3% yoy, as fee income growth came in moderate at 10.8% and income from exchange transactions declined by 38.1% yoy. The bank reported treasury gains of `65cr for the quarter compared to a loss of `72cr in 4QFY2012. On asset quality front, the bank reported stability, as its Gross NPA ratio improved marginally by 5bp to 0.97%, while Net NPA ratio remained flat at 0.2%. PCR (excluding write-offs) for the bank remained stable sequentially at 79.9%. HDFC Bank is currently trading at one-year forward 3.8x P/ABV (3.3x FY2015E ABV), higher than its median of 3.5x (over FY2005-13). We believe the current valuations largely factor in the positives, leaving limited upside in the stock. Source: Angel Broking

Axis Bank
During 4QFY2013, Axis Bank reported a 21.8% yoy growth in its net profit, which was in-line with our estimates. Key highlights from the result were sequential improvement in NIMs, robust growth in fee income and stable NPA ratios. During 4QFY2013, the bank reported a healthy growth in business, with advances and deposits registering a growth of 16.0% and 14.8% yoy, respectively. Growth in the loan book was primarily on account of strong traction witnessed in the retail loan book, which grew by 43.6% yoy, while SME loans grew at a robust pace of 25.7% yoy. Within retail loan book, auto loan grew by 54.7% yoy and now constitute around 4% of total loan book. Growth in the large and mid-corporate segment remained moderate at 7.5% yoy. CASA deposits grew at a healthy pace of 22.6% yoy, aided by a robust growth of 23.4% and 21.6% yoy in savings deposits and current deposits, respectively. Overall, the reported NIM improved by 13bp qoq to 3.7%. The bank registered robust growth in its non-interest income excluding treasury, largely driven by a healthy growth in fee income from the Retail & SME segments. On the asset quality front, slippages came in lower sequentially at `398cr, compared to `541cr witnessed in 3QFY2013, however, slippages and fresh restructuring, taken together amounted to ~`1,200cr during the quarter, higher than the Management’s guidance of around `1,000cr. Going forward, the Management expects slippages and restructuring per quarter to remain at similar levels for the next few quarters. Along with sequentially lower slippages, the bank also reported sequentially higher recoveries and upgrades at `205cr, which helped it to contain the sequential increase in its gross and net NPA levels, on an absolute basis, to 5.2% and 3.7%, respectively. The gross and net NPA ratio remained stable sequentially at 1.06% and 0.32%, respectively. The bank’s PCR dipped by 200bp qoq to 79%. Of the total restructuring during the quarter (`791cr), nearly `500cr came from Engineering and Iron & Steel. Its total restructured book, as of 4QFY2013 stands at `4,368cr. Axis Bank is trading at 1.6x FY2015E ABV – more than 50% discount to HDFC Bank vs an average discount of around 38% over the past five years (which we believe over-discounts asset quality concerns). We remain positive on the bank, owing to its attractive CASA franchise, multiple sources of sustainable fee income and reasonable growth outlook. Source: Angel Broking





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